(ollow The Money (And Ambitions)-

Follow The Money (And The Ambitions)

A clue was given to the Watergate reporters that eventually resolved the case. «Follow the money». I suspect (totally believe) the same may reveal the motivation of the hard Brexit proponents. Many leading proponents have already made money out of Brexit and also made sure that they and their interests remain in the EU. They stand to gain from a hard Brexit; too bad for the country.

Leave that aside for the moment. As both Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have consistently refused to answer the question as to whether they think the UK would be better off in the EU we can easily conclude that it would be. So the UK is going to be worse off. Leave that aside too for the moment.

The EU is now reportedly going to make a determined effort to offer a deal to the UK (in the absence of anything sensible coming from the other side) , a deal being reported as possibly «exceptional». That would avoid a «no deal» Brexit damaging to both sides. If a proposal emerges, what are the chances of the UK accepting it?

Any proposed deal will split the Conservative party, with the hard-liners against it. I don't know what the numbers are but maybe 1/3-2/3. It will also most probably split the Labour party, depending on the exact terms. Continuation in the Customs Union, which would resolve the Ireland border problem (and thus a most likely item in the proposal), would be unacceptable (so he says) to Jeremy Corbyn, What then would be the split in the Labour party? Again, I have no numbers, even less in this case, but it could well be the converse of the split in the Conservative party, 2/3-1/3, or slightly more favourable to Corbyn.

So what happens if it comes to a vote in Parliament? I don't know more than anybody else. What I do know is that, if this test comes before Parliament, it will clearly show which MPs value limiting the damage of Brexit to their country above personal financial and political ambitions..